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15:20 · Uttoxeter

F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Chase

1m 7f 214yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 104
9/2
Playful Fox silks

Babbitt Racing

Playful Fox

4yo Gelding · 11-4

Hunter's Light - Reform Act (Lemon Drop Kid)

Harry Skelton80%2/7D Skelton60%
241215
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Much improved over hurdles this summer, scoring (over 2m) at Stratford and Newton Abbot. Not discredited given he was set a lot to do when fifth of 6 at Bangor (17f, good) last time. Very much one to consider starting out over fences.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0528/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%22/05Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%8/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-940/100
5
Market Fav4
OR 102
11/4
Holy Legend silks

The Profile Partnership 2

Holy Legend

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Passing Glance - Holy Veil (Kayf Tara)

James Best60%3/7Alexandra Dunn
561211
9.0
Hood

Strong traveller and seems a reformed character (formerly moody) this season, easily going 3-4 in 6-runner handicap chase at Worcester (2m, good) last month. Up a further 8 lb but another bold bid is on the cards.

Class Advantage

9/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par9/037/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%9/03Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-286/100
6
5
OR 102
4/1
Ghasham silks

Worcester Racing Club

Ghasham

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Churchill - Shamarbelle (Montjeu)

Jonathan England60%1/4S England
213V32
7.0
Tongue strap

Has made a positive start over fences for current yard, landing the odds at Hexham (2m) in June. Set plenty to do when a good second of 6 in handicap chase at Cartmel (17f, good to soft) last time so he must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%9/05Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%15/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-664/100
1
3
OR 105
10/1
Reteti silks

Tusk Racing

Reteti

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Sixties Icon - Siri (Atlantic Sport)

M Goldstein60%1/13Miss S West
523213
8.0Going 8.0
Hood

Gained a deserved first success over hurdles at Stratford (2m) in August and backed it up with a good third of 11 in handicap at Newton Abbot (17f, good) 16 days ago. Worth a look now going chasing.

Class Advantage

23/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par23/0217/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%23/02Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%18/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%3-864/100
3
Value2
OR 105
14/1
Ask A Sainte silks

Fools And Horses

Ask A Sainte

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Ask - Sainte Fortuna (Zero Problemo)

S Bowen80%1/3O Murphy60%
5412P4
7.0

Landed 2m handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter in June. Runner-up on 2m chasing debut at Market Rasen next time but below par back hurdling both runs since. Could still do better back over fences.

Class Advantage

16/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/124/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 82%16/12Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%16/05Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 80%12/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%6/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%6-1070/100
9
6
OR 89
15/2
Prospect House silks

Hard Held Partnership And Angus Racing

Prospect House

8yo Gelding · 10-12

Retirement Plan - Niffyrann (Sheyrann)

William Maggs60%4/18−3lbP D Niven60%
231433
6.0Going 8.0
Visor

Ended last season with 2m success at Catterick in December. Has steadily found his form this year and comes here on the back of a good third of 8 in handicap chase at Market Rasen (17f, good to firm) in July. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/1028/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par16/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%30/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%16/12Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%12/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%18/07
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%4-681/100
10
9
OR 80
5/1
Tropical Talent silks

The Oldcastle Racing Syndicate

Tropical Talent

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Nathaniel - Tropical Rock (Fastnet Rock)

Jack Tudor60%0/1O Greenall & J Guerriero70%
732522
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

It's now thirteen runs since his last victory but he signalled he is ready to go in again when second of 8 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (2m, good) 25 days ago, collared only late on having made an error at the last. Weighted to go one better.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par19/0310/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%19/03Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%6/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%31/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%9/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-757/100
8
7
OR 91
10/1
Dexter silks

Barry And The Chuckles

Dexter

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Canford Cliffs - Hideaway (Cape Cross)

Toby Wynne60%0/7O Greenall & J Guerriero60%
746433
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
BlinkersTongue strap

On a losing sequence but he arrives in good nick, third of 8 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (2m, good) 25 days ago when needing a stronger gallop. Runner-up in this 12 months ago off a 6 lb higher mark and a likely player in a change of headgear. Stablemate of Tropical Talent.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par24/1123/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%24/11Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%28/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%19/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%9/09
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%4-1057/100
2
8
OR 105
66/1
Inedit D'amour silks

Four Counties

Inedit D'amour

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Beaumec De Houelle - Sweet Love (Diamond Boy)

Theo Gillard70%1/2D McCain Jnr80%
301540
4.0

French recruit (runner-up over fences) who made it third time lucky for Donald McCain in 2m Catterick maiden hurdle on New Year's Day. Well below par in 3 handicaps subsequently (tried in blinkers last time) so plenty more is needed back chasing on his return.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/11 · mark par10/1130/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par1/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par24/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par14/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par4/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%10/11Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%1/01Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%14/03Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%4/04
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%4-1057/100
4
10
OR 104
50/1
Bertie B silks

C & C Boultbee Brooks

Bertie B

8yo Gelding · 11-13

Kayf Tara - Toubeera (Tobougg)

R P McLernon60%0/1C Boultbee-Brooks
7P09P5
3.0

Ended the 2024/25 season badly out of sorts and offered little both runs at Worcester in June. Makes a belated chase debut and hard to fancy.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/112/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/12 · mark par29/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par21/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 214y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 90%1/11Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%29/12Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 9%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%21/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%17/06
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%10-1090/100