Jackpot Jackie

2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 84

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▬

Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Saratoga	?	4th	3rd	+1	6.6
2026-07-31	Saratoga	?	2nd	1st	+1	8.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength46%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/07/2026	2nd	15/8	90%	67%	-0.23
30/08/2026	4th	9/4	88%	57%	-0.31