2

Funny Factor

3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 98

Belmont Park · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f 119 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 77 par8/08C6OR 77C6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 69 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 78 par20/09C5OR 78C5 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Aqueduct 23/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 89 · 6f Fm 120 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 89 par23/04C5OR 89C5 @ Saratoga 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Saratoga 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 91 par17/07C6OR 91C6 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 94 par5/09C5OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-08-16Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-07-17Saratoga?6th7th−1
2026-06-03Saratoga?7th6th+1
2026-04-23Aqueduct?1st1st0
2025-11-14Aqueduct?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0814/1117/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
31/08/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
20/09/20254th7/282%40%-0.42
14/11/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
23/04/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
03/06/20267th25/10%0%0.00
17/07/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
16/08/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
05/09/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17