4
Life Is Gravy
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 66/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |