Repentless

3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 97

Belmont Park · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▼1

Strength19%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C4.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Kentucky Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2025-10-26	Churchill Downs	?	3rd	4th	−1	6.4
2025-10-05	Keeneland	?	10th	5th	+5	5.5
2025-09-04	Kentucky Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 41/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength5%

Delivery trend -29.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/09/2025	1st	33/1	0%	100%	+1.00
05/10/2025	10th	12/1	37%	18%	-0.19
26/10/2025	3rd	6/1	68%	67%	-0.02
29/08/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	80%	-0.02