Cloudy Chance
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 65
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |