2

Pocket Queens

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 78

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Aqueduct 15/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/03/2025 · OR 70 par15/03C7OR 70C6 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2025 · OR 75 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m1f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 79 par13/06C5OR 79C5 @ Aqueduct 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 82 · 1m1f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Aqueduct 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 83 par7/03C5OR 83C5 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Slo 126 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 73 par24/05C8OR 73C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 74 par30/08C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0
2026-04-18Aqueduct?9th6th+3
2026-03-07Aqueduct?5th2nd+3
2026-02-12Aqueduct?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0312/0224/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
10/04/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
13/06/20256th11/1094%0%-0.94
12/02/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
07/03/20265th5/174%43%-0.31
18/04/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
24/05/20264th11/893%57%-0.36
25/06/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
30/08/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52