8

Vekomancer

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 77

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS25/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2025 · OR 39 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 60 par26/08C6OR 60C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 72 parC6 @ Keeneland 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 83 par11/10C6OR 83C8 @ Aqueduct 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 74 par14/06C6OR 74C6 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Saratoga 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 77 par13/08C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Saratoga?7th5th+2
2026-06-14Belmont At The Big A?4th2nd+2
2026-03-07Aqueduct?3rd3rd0
2025-10-11Keeneland?8th6th+2
2025-09-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0615/0914/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20244th5/287%57%-0.30
05/08/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
26/08/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
15/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
11/10/20258th40/10%0%0.00
07/03/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
14/06/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
10/07/20267th25/10%0%0.00
13/08/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21