Amended Dreamer
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 74
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 26/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |