Channelview
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-01-16 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |