Curly Q Girl
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 71
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 24/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |