4

Ilenas Kaz Way

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 75

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Saratoga 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12212/07C9C9 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 81 par12/08C9OR 81projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-07-12Saratoga?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -122.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
12/08/20268th11/271%13%-0.59