Undercover Agent
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-07-20 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-06-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |