Georgia Magic
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 103
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |