Pentathlon
5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 100
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |