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3

Yo Daddy

5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 103

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

43%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Aqueduct 01/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/03/2025 · OR 110 par1/03C5OR 110C1 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 105 · 1m Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2025 · OR 105 parC0 @ Saratoga 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 102 · 2m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 102 par6/06C?OR 102C6 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 104 · 1m1f 121 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 104 parC5 @ Aqueduct 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 111 · 1m Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 111 par28/02C5OR 111C5 @ Aqueduct 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 1m2f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 109 parC1 @ Laurel Park 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 108 · 1m1f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 108 par15/05C1OR 108C0 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 106 · 1m2f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 106 parC6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 106 · 1m1f 123 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 106 par8/08C6OR 106projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04Saratoga?6th0th+5
2026-05-15Laurel Park?6th0th+5
2026-04-04Aqueduct?1st0th+1
2026-02-28Aqueduct?2nd1st+1
2026-02-04Aqueduct?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/034/0215/058/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength88%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20255th9/488%43%-0.45
04/05/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
06/06/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
04/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
28/02/20262nd9/488%50%-0.38
04/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/05/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
04/07/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
08/08/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04