4
Global Prosperity
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 69/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 27/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |