High Beta
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 10/11/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/02/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 12/07/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |