3
Master Freud
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Belmont Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 10% | -0.56 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 18/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |