Sod Siren
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |