6

Tacticality

3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 92

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/08C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 85 par24/10C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 85 par11/01C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 89 par12/03C6OR 89C5 @ Keeneland 10/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 97 par10/04C5OR 97C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 1m110y 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 98 par24/05C6OR 98C8 @ Saratoga 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 98 par6/09C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Saratoga?5th6th−1
2026-05-24Monmouth Park?1st0th+1
2026-04-10Keeneland?10th8th+2
2026-03-12Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-01-11Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2025-10-24Belmont At The Big A?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0812/036/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 62/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
24/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
11/01/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
12/03/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
10/04/202610th5/174%18%-0.56
24/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
06/09/20265th4/696%56%-0.41