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5

Athena's Fury

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11931/08C6C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 82 par16/05C9OR 82C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 75 par11/06C9OR 75C7 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 74 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 74 par4/09C7OR 74projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?1st3rd−2
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?1st5th−4
2026-05-16Belmont At The Big A?3rd7th−4
2025-08-31Saratoga?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0816/0511/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
16/05/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
11/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
04/09/20261st25/10%100%+1.00