Boomington
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 4th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |