9
Coach Of The Year
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |