8
Factory Setting
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 68/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 38% | -0.53 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |