7
Livin The Breeze
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |