8
Barb
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 24/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |