7

Breslau

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 92

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Oaklawn Park 27/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 103 · 6f Slo 119 · below its mark27/12/2024 · OR 103 par27/12C7OR 103C5 @ Oaklawn Park 23/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 103 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 103 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 22/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 105 par22/03C5OR 105C6 @ Oaklawn Park 01/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 106 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 106 par26/06C6OR 106C8 @ Saratoga 13/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 103 · 7f 124 · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 103 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 105 par18/10C7OR 105C7 @ Aqueduct 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 101 · 6f 123 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 101 parC1 @ Aqueduct 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 106 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 106 par28/02C1OR 106projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-28Aqueduct?5th-1th+5
2026-02-11Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2025-10-18Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd−1
2025-08-13Saratoga?2nd4th−2
2025-06-26Churchill Downs?9th9th0
2025-05-01Oaklawn Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/121/0518/1028/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20244th9/153%25%-0.28
23/02/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
22/03/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
01/05/20252nd6/168%89%+0.20
26/06/20259th10/147%11%-0.36
13/08/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
18/10/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
11/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
28/02/20265th10/147%0%-0.47