5
Classic Time
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Fair Grounds | BHA76 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/08/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 21/02/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 85% | +0.02 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |