9
Gate To Wire
4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.1
Today:
Class gap: +3.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2025-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | +5 | ||
| 2025-05-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2025-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 01/11/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/01/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 01/02/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/03/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |