Suremeanttoobe
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |