6
Two Eagles River
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |