3
Vettriano
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |