Majaz
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Leicester | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/9 | 99% | 86% | -0.13 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 24/10/2025 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |