3
Mid Summer
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |