1
Prime Connection
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |