8

Racing Colors

7yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 90

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 1f

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Aqueduct 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 99 · 7f 121 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 99 par19/02C7OR 99C7 @ Aqueduct 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 98 · 1m1f 121 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 98 parC7 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 7f 124 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 93 par29/03C7OR 93C7 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m 126 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 94 parC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 91 par3/05C1OR 91C7 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 85 par21/06C7OR 85C7 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m1f Fas 126 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 88 par5/09C7OR 88projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Saratoga?5th7th−2
2026-07-26Saratoga?2nd4th−2
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?3rd5th−2
2026-06-04Saratoga?10th12th−2
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big A?5th0th+4
2026-04-10Aqueduct?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0210/0421/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
19/03/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
29/03/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
10/04/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
03/05/20265th40/10%0%0.00
04/06/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
21/06/20263rd16/116%50%+0.34
26/07/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
05/09/20265th40/10%60%+0.60