IvyArcIvyArc
8

Pirate Anne Bonny

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3

Curragh · Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising clear second of 21 in maiden at Naas (6f, good to soft) on debut 17 days ago, first home in her group. This Blackbeard filly merits serious consideration with improvement very much on the cards.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12817/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20262nd7/282%95%+0.13