3

Cracks And Sparks

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 12

Curragh · Bermingham Cameras Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

18,000 gns foal, 26,000 gns yearling, Cracksman colt. Showed plenty to work on despite signs of inexperience when fifth of 15 in maiden at Naas (7f, good to soft) on debut 17 days ago. Should improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 13117/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20265th14/126%71%+0.45