7

Johntom

2yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7

Curragh · Bermingham Cameras Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Cracksman gelding who again shaped as if in need of time and distance when twelfth of 13 in maiden at this C&D (heavy) 7 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Yie 13317/09C8C8 @ Curragh 27/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f Hvy 13327/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Curragh?12th12th0
2026-09-17Naas?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0927/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -21.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
27/09/202612th100/10%8%+0.08