8

Muscogee Nation

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 10

Curragh · Bermingham Cameras Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€200,000 breeze-up purchase but shaped as if he would benefit from his first outing when seventh of 18 in maiden at Naas (6f) in July. Could see a better showing this time around.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20267th9/276%65%-0.12