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2

Dmaniac

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 2 · OR 85

Curragh · Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 6f winner here, the latest in March. Stepped up on his return from a 4-month break when fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 8 days ago but likely needs more again to make the breakthrough at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 14.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C8.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 69 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 69 par10/0969OR 69BHA72 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 72 · 7f15y Hvy 129 · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 72 parBHA72 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Sft 128 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 72 par4/1072OR 72BHA71 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 71 · 6f Hvy 131 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 71 parBHA80 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 80 · 6f Hvy 122 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 80 par15/0380OR 80BHA87 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 87 · 5f Sft 127 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 87 · 7f Sft 131 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 87 par3/0587OR 87BHA87 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 24 · OR 87 · 6f Yie 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 87 · 7f Yie 128 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 87 par26/0987OR 87projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA874th14th−8
2026-09-13CurraghBHA8718th28th−8
2026-05-03CorkBHA872nd12th−8
2026-03-28CurraghBHA875th15th−8
2026-03-15CurraghBHA801st10th−7
2025-10-21CurraghBHA711st9th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0921/103/0526/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength1%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20252nd14/126%95%+0.68
23/09/20259th17/255%38%-0.17
04/10/20253rd9/276%75%-0.01
21/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
15/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
28/03/20265th9/488%69%-0.19
03/05/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
13/09/202618th12/137%26%-0.11
26/09/20264th12/137%67%+0.30