10
Princess Child
5yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 99
Curragh · Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 24/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |