7

Sindagan
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 95
Curragh · Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA94 | 3rd | 13th | −9 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 28/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |