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8

Unauthorized

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 10 · OR 86

Curragh · Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked on the up when doubling his tally in 6f handicap at Listowel in May and resumed his progress after a 3-month break when a good second of 9 in minor event (14/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 8 days ago. Hood worn there is retained but will likely need more again to land a blow here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 27/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 6f Gd 13327/054C0 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f Std 131C8 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 1314/10C8C8 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 78 · 7f30y Yie 131 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 78 parBHA80 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 80 · 7f Gd 128 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 80 par23/0580OR 80BHA79 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 79 · 6f60y Goo 130 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 79 parBHA86 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 86 · 6f GF 130 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par27/0686OR 86BHA83 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 83 · 7f Yie 127 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 83 par26/0983OR 83projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA832nd11th−8
2026-06-27CurraghBHA868th17th−8
2026-05-31ListowelBHA791st10th−7
2026-05-23CurraghBHA807th16th−7
2025-10-18Leopardstown?1st10th−7
2025-10-04Curragh?5th14th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0518/1027/0626/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20257th28/10%50%+0.50
19/09/20258th66/10%22%+0.22
04/10/20255th200/10%67%+0.67
18/10/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
23/05/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
31/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
27/06/20268th12/137%46%+0.09
26/09/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61