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5

Wannabe Royal

4yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 8 · OR 100

Curragh · Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Narrow winner of a listed race at Naas in May but hasn't been able to land a serious blow in Group 3 company on her last 3 outings and this looks a good race for the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Killarney 16/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 92 · 1m40y Sft 128 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 92 par16/071OR 92BHA92 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 7f Hvy 131 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 92 par1 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 92 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 92 par4/101OR 921 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 7f Sft 130 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ Cork 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 94 · 6f Sft 130 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 94 par4/041OR 941 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 94 par1 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 100 · 7f35y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 100 par11/061OR 1001 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 100 · 7f Yie 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 100 par1 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 100 · 7f6y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 100 par13/091OR 100projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster110th10th+0
2026-08-30Cork14th4th+0
2026-06-11Leopardstown17th7th+0
2026-05-17Naas11st1st0
2026-04-04Cork18th8th0
2026-03-28Curragh15th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0728/0311/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20257th8/158%33%-0.25
20/09/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
04/10/20254th8/158%82%+0.24
28/03/20265th40/10%56%+0.56
04/04/20268th14/126%22%-0.04
17/05/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
11/06/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
30/08/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
13/09/202610th33/10%50%+0.50