3
Cristal Clere
8yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 11 · OR 96
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Listowel | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Listowel | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Listowel | BHA98 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 05/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |