5
Final Voyage
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 88
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap · 1m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA88 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | BHA90 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | BHA90 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |