10
Noble Honour
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 84
Curragh · 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA78 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 35/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -16.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |