11
Do For Love
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 85
Curragh · Hailey Equine Irish European Breeders Fund Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 6f
#17
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA87 | 7th | 17th | −8 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 10-17 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |